I think the issue with the auto industry that you mentioned is a major strike against it. One of my real problems -- and I love the concept, in theory -- is that it's just not a very effective piece of displacing technology, and without that I'm not sure that it can be sufficiently disruptive. One argument for Segway is essentially 'if we changed the pattern of our lives, this would be a MUCH better technology than the automobile', but the trick is that first it needs to be a better technology for the current pattern of living. While it's a very tempting technology for some applications, the truth is that more people live in the 'burbs than in NYC, and I still just don't see it truly fitting their lifestyle. This isn't to say that it won't get some use; I even expect it to end up commercially viable. But I have a difficult time envisioning it as a 'change the world' vehicle.
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momijizukamori
no subject
Date: 2002-04-20 14:13 (UTC)